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Language, Literacy, and Communication Regarding Medication in an Anticoagulation Clinic: Are Pictures Better Than Words?
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2005)
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| 42 |
A Linear Programming Formulation for Global Inference in Natural Language Tasks
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In: DTIC (2004)
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| 43 |
An Analysis of Factors Predicting Graduation of Students at Defense Language Institute Foreign Language Center
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2004)
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| 44 |
Predictors of Plebe Summer Attrition at the United States Naval Academy
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2003)
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| 45 |
Mental Models Theory and Military Decision-Marking: A Pilot Experimental Model
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2003)
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| 46 |
The Role of Personality Type on Minority Attrition at the US Naval Academy
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2002)
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| 47 |
Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning
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In: DTIC (2002)
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Abstract:
Warning is a skill unto itself, requiring an understanding of the attitudes and disciplines of potential adversaries as well as their capabilities, their history, their culture and their biases. In an era of asymmetric warfare in which our national security and well being can be seriously threatened by hostile groups as well as nations, it is imperative that lessons from the past not be forgotten and the discipline of warning reinvigorated. Warning intelligence differs significantly from current intelligence and the preparation of long-range estimates. It accepts the presumption of surprise and incomplete intelligence and requires exhaustive research upon which to build the case for specific warning. Relationships among events or involving the players may not be readily evident at first and initial signs often consist of fragmentary evidence, conflicting reports, or an absence of something. It is not merely a compilation of facts. It is an abstraction, an intangible, a perception or a belief. While a specific methodology for developing warning may have been tailored to the needs of the Cold War, the same principles apply even to asymmetric conflict. This updated and revised edition of an earlier, classified publication is an excellent primer for both intelligence analysts and policymakers. Events have shown that accurate and timely warning has most often been produced by a minority viewpoint brought to the attention of decisionmakers in some way; it is not the product of a majority consensus. In the rush to build new intelligence mechanisms to combat terrorist attacks and to provide warning for the homeland as well as for forces deployed, the nation and the Intelligence Community would be well served by reviewing this book to gain an understanding of what constitutes warning and how it is arrived at. As the author points out, "warning does not exist until it has been conveyed to the policymaker, and .he must know that he has been warned." ; Library of Congress Control Number 2002115175; ISBN 0-9656195-6-7. The original document contains color images.
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Keyword:
*METHODOLOGY; *STRATEGIC WARNING; *WARNING INTELLIGENCE; ASYMMETRIC CONFLICT; DECEPTION; INDICATORS; Information Science; LESSONS LEARNED; Military Intelligence; PREDICTIONS; SURPRISE; TIMING; TOTALITY OF EVIDENCE; WARNING SYSTEMS
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URL: http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA476752
http://oai.dtic.mil/oai/oai?&verb=getRecord&metadataPrefix=html&identifier=ADA476752
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| 48 |
Predictors of Navy Attrition: I. Analysis of 1-Year Attrition
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2001)
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| 49 |
A Dialectic Approach to Moving Target Indicator (MTI) Correlation
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2001)
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| 50 |
Intentional Systems, Intentional Stance, and Explanations of Intentional Behavior
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (2000)
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| 51 |
Forecasting Methodologies for USAF Facility Maintenance and Repair Funding Requirements.
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1997)
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| 52 |
Linguistic and computational advantages of bidirectional bottom-up parsing with top-down predictions
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| 53 |
Computer Aided Breast Cancer Diagnosis.
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1996)
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| 54 |
Natural Language Information Retrieval: TREC-4 Report
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In: DTIC (1995)
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| 55 |
High-Order Modeling Techniques for Continuous Speech Recognition.
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1995)
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| 56 |
Automatic Tools for Developing Fine-Grained Signal Processing Programs on Multicomputers.
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1995)
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| 57 |
The Cognitive, Perceptual, and Neural Bases of Skilled Performance
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1994)
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| 58 |
Near-Real-Time Intelligence on the Tactical Battlefield: The Requirement for a Combat Information System.
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1994)
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| 59 |
Inference and Estimation of a Long-Range Trigram Model
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1994)
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| 60 |
An Architecturally-Based Theory of Human Sentence Comprehension
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In: DTIC AND NTIS (1993)
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